Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Vaasan Sport — Jukurit
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Vaasan Sport 49%, Jukurit 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vaasan Sport — Jukurit | 2.2–2.2 | |
| Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Jukurit to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vaasan Sport
- Vaasan Sport goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10Ilves2:1
- 03.10IFK Helsinki2:3 OT
- 26.09Karpat1:2
- 23.09Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
- 19.09away · Karpat2:3
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Jukurit — Vaasan Sport4:0
- 22.01.2026Jukurit — Vaasan Sport6:2
- 10.01.2026Vaasan Sport — Jukurit1:3
- 17.12.2025Jukurit — Vaasan Sport4:0
- 23.09.2025Vaasan Sport — Jukurit1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Ilves | 12 | 8 | +12 | 26 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Jukurit | 14 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
Liiga on the same day
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →