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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Paul T. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Paul T.20%
Alcaraz C.80%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (80%), came true.

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Paul T. 1778, Alcaraz C. 2019.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Paul T. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Paul T.

  • 29.10Darderi L.2:0
  • 27.10Rublev A.2:0
  • 24.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 23.10Moutet C.2:1
  • 21.10Bonzi B.2:1

Alcaraz C.

  • 29.10Basilashvili N.2:0
  • 27.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 12.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 10.10Cerundolo J. M.2:0
  • 06.10Lehecka J.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Medvedev D.Alcaraz C.31 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Paul T.Rune H.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Shelton B.Kym J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Rune H.Vacherot V.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Fritz T.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Zverev A.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Struff J-L.Borges N.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Berrettini M.De Minaur A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →