Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Darderi L. — Tsitsipas S.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Darderi L.40%
Tsitsipas S.60%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Tsitsipas S. to win (60%), came true.

Tsitsipas S. are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Darderi L. 1613, Tsitsipas S. 1711.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Darderi L. games
  • Tsitsipas S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Darderi L.

  • 02.10Jacquet K.0:2
  • 01.10Ruud C.2:0

Tsitsipas S.

  • 08.10Coppejans K.2:0
  • 02.10Vacherot V.1:2
  • 01.10Etcheverry T. M.2:1
  • 29.09Hijikata R.2:0
  • 28.09Nishioka Y.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tsitsipas S.Fritz T.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →