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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Fritz T. — Fils A.

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Model prediction and result

1:0Missed
Fritz T.45%
Fils A.55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fils A. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Fils A. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fritz T. 1795, Fils A. 1804.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fritz T. games
  • Fils A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fritz T.

  • 29.10Shapovalov D.2:0
  • 28.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 25.10Musetti L.0:2
  • 24.10Paul T.2:0
  • 23.10Altmaier D.2:0

Fils A.

  • 29.10Michelsen A.2:1
  • 27.10Mpetshi Perricard G.2:0
  • 24.10Struff J-L.1:2
  • 23.10Michelsen A.2:0
  • 12.10Van De Zandschulp B.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Vacherot V.Fritz T.31 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Fils A.Machac T.4 November · ATP · Paris
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

ATP on the same day

  • Shelton B.Kym J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Rune H.Vacherot V.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Paul T.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Zverev A.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Struff J-L.Borges N.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Berrettini M.De Minaur A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →