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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Struff J-L. — Borges N.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Struff J-L.41%
Borges N.59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Borges N. to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.

Borges N. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Struff J-L. 1621, Borges N. 1641.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Borges N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Struff J-L.

  • 29.10Djokovic N.2:1
  • 28.10Hanfmann Y.2:0
  • 25.10Griekspoor T.1:2
  • 24.10Fils A.2:1
  • 23.10Bergs Z.2:0

Borges N.

  • 28.10Ruud C.2:1
  • 26.10Brunold M.2:0
  • 10.10Lehecka J.1:2
  • 08.10Diaz Acosta F.2:0
  • 30.09Djokovic N.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Borges N.Mannarino A.31 October · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Lehecka J.Struff J-L.31 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Shelton B.Kym J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Rune H.Vacherot V.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Paul T.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Zverev A.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Berrettini M.De Minaur A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →