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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Rune H. — Vacherot V.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Rune H.47%
Vacherot V.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vacherot V. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Rune H. 47%, Vacherot V. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rune H. 1764, Vacherot V. 1680.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rune H. games
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rune H.

  • 28.10Hurkacz H.2:1
  • 26.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 07.10Altmaier D.1:2
  • 01.10Jacquet K.0:2

Vacherot V.

  • 29.10Jodar R.2:1
  • 26.10Navone M.2:0
  • 22.10van Assche L.1:2
  • 12.10Paul T.0:2
  • 10.10Baez S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Vacherot V.Fritz T.31 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Paul T.Rune H.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →