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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Berrettini M. — De Minaur A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Berrettini M.32%
De Minaur A.68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (68%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Berrettini M. 1679, De Minaur A. 1797.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Berrettini M. games
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Berrettini M.

  • 29.10Cobolli F.0:0
  • 26.10Etcheverry T. M.2:0
  • 20.10Jacquet K.0:2
  • 09.10Nakashima B.0:2
  • 07.10Kovacevic A.2:1

De Minaur A.

  • 28.10Tien L.2:0
  • 26.10Machac T.2:1
  • 15.10Zverev A.0:2
  • 13.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 11.10Sakamoto R.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zverev A.De Minaur A.31 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Nakashima B.Berrettini M.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • Shelton B.Kym J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Mannarino A.Medvedev D.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Rune H.Vacherot V.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Paul T.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Fritz T.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Zverev A.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Struff J-L.Borges N.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →