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Tennis: ATP, Basel, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Hijikata R. — Hanfmann Y.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Hijikata R.43%
Hanfmann Y.57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Hanfmann Y. to win (57%), came true.

Hanfmann Y. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hijikata R. 1541, Hanfmann Y. 1599.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hijikata R. games
  • Hanfmann Y. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hijikata R.

  • 24.10Kecmanovic M.2:0
  • 20.10Atmane T.0:2
  • 07.10Safiullin R.0:2
  • 29.09Tsitsipas S.0:2
  • 28.09Ugo Carabelli C.2:0

Hanfmann Y.

  • 24.10Giron M.2:1
  • 19.10Damm M.0:2
  • 09.10Tiafoe F.0:2
  • 07.10Majchrzak K.2:1
  • 28.09Machac T.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Hanfmann Y.Struff J-L.28 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Fritz T.Hijikata R.28 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →