Musetti L. — Fritz T.
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In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
Fritz T. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.
Over 22.5 games — 51%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Musetti L. 1743, Fritz T. 1795.
Facts
- Musetti L.: 4 wins in a row; Fritz T.: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Games over 22.5 | 51% |
| Games under 22.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- Games handicap
- Sets handicap
- First set
- Musetti L. games
- Fritz T. games
- Score in sets
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next matches
- Musetti L.Tiafoe F.28 October · ATP · Vienna45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
- Fritz T.Hijikata R.28 October · ATP · Basel81191The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
ATP on the same day
- 86141The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
- 39612The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →