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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Sonego L. — Fearnley J.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Sonego L.52%
Fearnley J.48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Sonego L. to win (52%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Sonego L. 52%, Fearnley J. 48%.

Over 23.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sonego L. 1577, Fearnley J. 1523.

Probabilities

Games over 23.547%
Games under 23.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sonego L. games
  • Fearnley J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sonego L.

  • 24.10Vallejo D.2:1
  • 19.10Kouame M.0:2
  • 05.10Dougaz A.1:2
  • 28.09Majchrzak K.0:2
  • 25.09Brooksby J.1:2

Fearnley J.

  • 24.10Carreno-Busta P.2:1
  • 21.10Chidekh C.0:2
  • 20.10Gaston H.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fery A.Fearnley J.26 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Sonego L.Munar J.31 October · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Medvedev D.Basilashvili N.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • Hijikata R.Hanfmann Y.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Neumayer L.Droguet T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Altmaier D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Kovacevic A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Marozsan F.Machac T.live
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
  • Musetti L.Fritz T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Mannarino A.Molcan A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →