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Tennis: ATP, Basel, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Mpetshi Perricard G. — Kovacevic A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Mpetshi Perricard G.39%
Kovacevic A.61%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kovacevic A. to win (61%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.

Kovacevic A. are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mpetshi Perricard G. 1525, Kovacevic A. 1491.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mpetshi Perricard G. games
  • Kovacevic A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Mpetshi Perricard G.

  • 24.10Baez S.2:1
  • 17.10Bertola R.1:2

Kovacevic A.

  • 24.10Duckworth J.2:0
  • 20.10Tsitsipas S.1:2
  • 07.10Berrettini M.1:2
  • 29.09Munar J.0:2
  • 28.09Svajda Z.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Fils A.27 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Shelton B.Kovacevic A.27 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Medvedev D.Basilashvili N.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • Hijikata R.Hanfmann Y.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Sonego L.Fearnley J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Neumayer L.Droguet T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Altmaier D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Marozsan F.Machac T.live
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
  • Musetti L.Fritz T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Mannarino A.Molcan A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →