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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Neumayer L. — Droguet T.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Neumayer L.43%
Droguet T.57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Droguet T. to win (57%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.

Droguet T. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Neumayer L. 1473, Droguet T. 1559.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Neumayer L. games
  • Droguet T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Neumayer L.

  • 24.10Kopriva V.2:0

Droguet T.

  • 24.10Schwaerzler J. J.2:1
  • 20.10Altmaier D.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Mensik J.Neumayer L.26 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Molcan A.Droguet T.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →