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Tennis: ATP, Almaty, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Medvedev D. — Basilashvili N.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Medvedev D.86%
Basilashvili N.14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (86%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1835, Basilashvili N. 1552.

Facts

  • Medvedev D.: 3 wins in a row; Basilashvili N.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 19.553%
Games under 19.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Basilashvili N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 24.10Bublik A.1:0
  • 23.10Atmane T.2:0
  • 22.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
  • 17.10Jodar R.0:2
  • 16.10Paul T.2:1

Basilashvili N.

  • 24.10Tsitsipas S.2:1
  • 23.10Mannarino A.2:0
  • 21.10Diaz Acosta F.2:0
  • 19.10Cilic M.2:0
  • 18.10Walton A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D.28 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.28 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hijikata R.Hanfmann Y.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Sonego L.Fearnley J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Neumayer L.Droguet T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Altmaier D.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Kovacevic A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Marozsan F.Machac T.live
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5
  • Musetti L.Fritz T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Mannarino A.Molcan A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →