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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Lehecka J. — Struff J-L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Lehecka J.72%
Struff J-L.28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (72%), came true.

Lehecka J. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lehecka J. 1755, Struff J-L. 1627.

Facts

  • Lehecka J.: 3 wins in a row; Struff J-L.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lehecka J.

  • 30.10Kym J.2:0
  • 29.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 27.10Wawrinka S.2:0
  • 23.10Griekspoor T.1:2
  • 22.10Collignon R.2:0

Struff J-L.

  • 30.10Borges N.2:0
  • 29.10Djokovic N.2:1
  • 28.10Hanfmann Y.2:0
  • 25.10Griekspoor T.1:2
  • 24.10Fils A.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.1 November · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Struff J-L.Gea A.3 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →