UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Bilal Hasan — Luis Gurulebeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bilal Hasan are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Bilal Hasan 1570, Luis Gurule 1397.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 31.05Rei Tsuruya0:1
- 17.05Daniel Barez1:0
- 22.02Alden Coria0:1
- 14.09Jesus Aguilar0:1
- 06.04Ode Osbourne0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- Nazim SadykhovJefferson Nascimentopreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Adrian YanezJuan Diazpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Macy ChiassonBia Mesquitapreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jared GordonMelquizael Costapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Evan ElderSamuel Sanchespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Jim MillerTerrance McKinneypreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Drew DoberChris Duncanpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtkepreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 2—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →