UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Francis Marshall — Dakota Hopebeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
0:1 (decision)Missed
In short
Final score 0:1 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Francis Marshall to win (65%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 bouts out of 100 on average.
Francis Marshall are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Francis Marshall 1534, Dakota Hope 1474.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 26.04Lucas Brennan1:0
- 01.03Erik Silva1:0
- 09.03Mairon Santos0:1
- 25.08Dennis Buzukja1:0
- 13.08Isaac Dulgarian0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 28722The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →