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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Flyweight

Lucia Szabová — Tainara Lisboabeta

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Model prediction and result

1:0 (KO/TKO)Came true
Lucia Szabová64%
Tainara Lisboa36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Lucia Szabová to win (64%), came true.

Lucia Szabová are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Why

  • Elo rating: Lucia Szabová 1500, Tainara Lisboa 1470.

Probabilities

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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.

  • Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
  • KO/TKO by each fighter
  • Goes the distance
  • Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form

Lucia Szabová

No past matches in the data yet.

Tainara Lisboa

  • 19.10Melissa Croden0:1
  • 18.05Luana Santos0:1
  • 15.10Ravena Oliveira1:0
  • 14.05Jessica-Rose Clark1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

UFC on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →