UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Yana Santos — Luana Santosbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
0:1 (decision)Came true
In short
Final score 0:1 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Luana Santos to win (72%), came true.
Luana Santos are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Yana Santos 1559, Luana Santos 1637.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 05.10Macy Chiasson1:0
- 04.05Miesha Tate1:0
- 11.08Chelsea Chandler1:0
- 02.07Karol Rosa0:1
- 26.03Holly Holm0:1
- 21.06Karol Rosa1:0
- 14.12Melissa Croden1:0
- 18.05Tainara Lisboa1:0
- 18.08Casey O'Neill0:1
- 14.07Mariya Agapova1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →