UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Julian Erosa — JeongYeong Leebeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
1:0 (KO/TKO)Came true
In short
Final score 1:0 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Julian Erosa to win (55%), came true.
Julian Erosa are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.
Why
- Elo rating: Julian Erosa 1511, JeongYeong Lee 1476.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 29.03Lerryan Douglas0:1
- 18.05Melquizael Costa0:1
- 13.04Darren Elkins1:0
- 14.07Christian Rodriguez1:0
- 24.03Ricardo Ramos1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 28722The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →