UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Talita Alencar — Piera Rodriguezbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
0:1 (decision)Came true
In short
Final score 0:1 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Piera Rodriguez to win (58%), came true.
Piera Rodriguez are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
Why
- Elo rating: Talita Alencar 1589, Piera Rodriguez 1554.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 26.04Julia Polastri1:0
- 02.11Ariane Carnelossi1:0
- 06.04Vanessa Demopoulos1:0
- 11.08Stephanie Luciano0:1
- 10.12Rayanne dos Santos1:0
- 15.03Sam Hughes1:0
- 03.08Ketlen Souza1:0
- 15.12Josefine Knutsson1:0
- 19.05Ariane Carnelossi0:1
- 16.04Gillian Robertson0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 28722The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →