UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Ode Osbourne — Cody Durdenbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
0:1 (decision)Missed
In short
Final score 0:1 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Ode Osbourne to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 bouts out of 100 on average.
Evenly bouted: Ode Osbourne 51%, Cody Durden 49%.
Why
- Elo rating: Ode Osbourne 1433, Cody Durden 1434.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 22.02Alibi Idiris0:1
- 10.08Steve Erceg0:1
- 06.04Luis Gurule1:0
- 15.09Ronaldo Rodriguez0:1
- 17.03Jafel Filho0:1
- 12.07Alessandro Costa0:1
- 26.04Jafel Filho1:0
- 08.03Nyamjargal Tumendemberel0:1
- 02.11Allan Nascimento0:1
- 15.06Jose Ochoa0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →