UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Renato Moicano — Tom Nolanbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction and result
0:1 (KO/TKO)Came true
In short
Final score 0:1 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Tom Nolan to win (69%), came true.
Tom Nolan are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Renato Moicano 1604, Tom Nolan 1617.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 05.04Chris Duncan1:0
- 29.06Beneil Dariush0:1
- 19.01Islam Makhachev0:1
- 29.09Benoit Saint Denis1:0
- 14.04Jalin Turner1:0
- 07.06Fares Ziam1:0
- 28.09Charlie Campbell1:0
- 09.02Viacheslav Borshchev1:0
- 18.08Alex Reyes1:0
- 19.05Victor Martinez1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 2DECResult: decision—
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 2FINResult: stoppage—
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 1KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 1DECResult: decision—
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 1DECResult: decision—
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 2KOResult: KO/TKO—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →