Superliga (Brazilian volleyball) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Guarulhos — Monte Carmelobeta

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Model prediction for 25 October

Guarulhos63%
Monte Carmelo37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Guarulhos are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Guarulhos — 58%.

Over 187.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Guarulhos 1523, Monte Carmelo 1491; chance to win a single set: Guarulhos 58%.

Facts

  • Last 4 meetings: Guarulhos 4 wins, Monte Carmelo 0.

Probabilities

First set: Guarulhos58%
First set: Monte Carmelo42%
Points over 187.550%
Points under 187.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Guarulhos
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Guarulhos

  • 17.04away · Praia Clube0:3
  • 11.04Praia Clube3:2
  • 05.04away · Praia Clube0:3
  • 28.03away · Joinville3:0
  • 22.03Sesi3:1

Monte Carmelo

  • 10.04Volei Renata1:3
  • 05.04away · Volei Renata1:3
  • 28.03away · Suzano Volei2:3
  • 23.03Praia Clube3:1
  • 15.03Minas2:3

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Guarulhos — Monte Carmelo3:2
  • 21.11.2025Monte Carmelo — Guarulhos2:3
  • 29.02.2024Guarulhos — Monte Carmelo3:0
  • 17.12.2023Monte Carmelo — Guarulhos1:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →