Russian Volleyball Super League · Friday, 16 October, (UTC+3)

MGTU Moscow — Orenburgbeta

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Model prediction for 16 October

MGTU Moscow42%
Orenburg58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Orenburg are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Orenburg — 54%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: MGTU Moscow 1328, Orenburg 1394; chance to win a single set: Orenburg 54%.

Facts

  • Last 4 meetings: MGTU Moscow 2 wins, Orenburg 2.

Probabilities

First set: MGTU Moscow46%
First set: Orenburg54%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap MGTU Moscow
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

MGTU Moscow

  • 20.05away · Nizhnevartovsk3:2
  • 16.05Nizhnevartovsk3:2
  • 15.05Nizhnevartovsk3:2
  • 12.03Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 04.03Orenburg3:2

Orenburg

  • 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
  • 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
  • 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
  • 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3

Head to head

  • 04.03.2026MGTU Moscow — Orenburg3:2
  • 21.12.2025Orenburg — MGTU Moscow3:0
  • 21.12.2024MGTU Moscow — Orenburg3:2
  • 15.09.2024Orenburg — MGTU Moscow3:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →