MGTU Moscow — Orenburgbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Orenburg are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Orenburg — 54%.
Over 188.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: MGTU Moscow 1328, Orenburg 1394; chance to win a single set: Orenburg 54%.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: MGTU Moscow 2 wins, Orenburg 2.
Probabilities
| First set: MGTU Moscow | 46% |
| First set: Orenburg | 54% |
| Points over 188.5 | 50% |
| Points under 188.5 | 50% |
66 more model lines in Premium
The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap MGTU Moscow
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 20.05away · Nizhnevartovsk3:2
- 16.05Nizhnevartovsk3:2
- 15.05Nizhnevartovsk3:2
- 12.03Novyi Urengoy1:3
- 04.03Orenburg3:2
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
- 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
- 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
- 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3
Head to head
- 04.03.2026MGTU Moscow — Orenburg3:2
- 21.12.2025Orenburg — MGTU Moscow3:0
- 21.12.2024MGTU Moscow — Orenburg3:2
- 15.09.2024Orenburg — MGTU Moscow3:1
Russian Super League on the same day
- 28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3184.5
- 17832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3178.5
- 9641The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0142.5
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1187.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →