Superliga (Brazilian volleyball) · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Minas — Sesibeta

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Model prediction for 29 October

Minas79%
Sesi21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minas are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Minas — 68%.

Over 181.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Minas 1637, Sesi 1517; chance to win a single set: Minas 68%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Minas 2 wins, Sesi 3.

Probabilities

First set: Minas68%
First set: Sesi32%
Points over 181.551%
Points under 181.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Minas
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Minas

  • 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
  • 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
  • 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
  • 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
  • 02.05away · Sada Cruzeiro1:3

Sesi

  • 28.03Sao Jose dos Campos2:3
  • 22.03away · Guarulhos1:3
  • 16.03away · Goias0:3
  • 04.03Monte Carmelo1:3
  • 23.02away · JF Volei3:0

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Sesi — Minas3:2
  • 18.12.2025Minas — Sesi3:1
  • 23.03.2025Sesi — Minas3:2
  • 21.12.2024Minas — Sesi3:2
  • 22.03.2024Minas — Sesi0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →