EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, 22:30 MSK

Barcelona — Valencia

Model prediction for 30 October

Barcelona47%

Valencia53%

Model estimate at 18:01 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Barcelona 47%, Valencia 53%.

The model expects a score around 89:90 — 179 points in total.

Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Barcelona −0.3, Valencia +4.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Valencia		89.2–90.2
Total over 178.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 178.5 (incl. OT)		50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Barcelona points
Valencia points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Barcelona

11.10Valencia89:86
09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
04.10away · Murcia94:100
02.10away · Besiktas95:82
29.09away · Dubai87:94

Valencia

11.10away · Barcelona86:89
08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
29.09Baskonia111:88

Head to head

11.10.2026Barcelona — Valencia89:86
24.06.2026Barcelona — Valencia84:108
22.06.2026Barcelona — Valencia80:88
20.06.2026Valencia — Barcelona102:75
18.06.2026Valencia — Barcelona112:113 OT

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	1.000	—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Valencia	4	4	0	1.000	—
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Olympiacos	4	3	1	.750	1
11	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	.500	2
12	Barcelona	4	2	2	.500	2
13	Besiktas	4	2	2	.500	2

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

19:00
DubaiHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary
5347
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.7
20:30
Anadolu EfesPanathinaikospreliminary
3466
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —164.2
21:00
Zalgiris KaunasPartizan Mozzart Betpreliminary
7327
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.6
22:00
Lyon-VilleurbanneBaskoniapreliminary
6040
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
22:15
OlympiacosOlimpia Milanopreliminary
928
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.7
22:30
Virtus BolognaBesiktaspreliminary
6139
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →