EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Neptunas — JL Bourg

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 13 October

In play · estimate from before kick-off

Neptunas34%
JL Bourg66%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

JL Bourg are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:88 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Neptunas −7.7, JL Bourg +0.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Neptunas — JL Bourg82.4–87.8
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Neptunas points
  • JL Bourg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Neptunas

  • 07.10away · Chemnitz84:93
  • 29.09Trento73:76
  • 11.02Bahcesehir Kol.86:91
  • 04.02away · Aris64:83
  • 28.01Hapoel Jerusalem98:92

JL Bourg

  • 06.10Tofas82:89
  • 30.09away · Basket Napoli76:84
  • 28.04Besiktas73:71
  • 22.04away · Besiktas72:60
  • 08.04Turk Telekom94:78

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli2201.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas2201.000—
3, PlayoffsBuducnost211.5001
4, PlayoffsChemnitz211.5001
5Slask Wroclaw211.5001
6Trento211.5001
7Neptunas202.0002
8JL Bourg202.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —162.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →