Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 13 October, 04:00 MSK · Estadio Vicente Rosales

Olimpico — Boca Juniors

Model prediction and result

93:80Missed

Olimpico35%

Boca Juniors65%

Model estimate at 00:14 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 93:80: the model's most likely outcome, Boca Juniors to win (65% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.

Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:88 — 171 point in total.

Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Olimpico −3.5, Boca Juniors +4.7 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpico — Boca Juniors		83.1–87.6
Total over 170.5 (incl. OT)		49%
Total under 170.5 (incl. OT)		51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Olimpico points
Boca Juniors points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Olimpico

08.10Atenas87:91
02.10Platense74:82
13.04away · San Martin67:78
11.04away · Regatas75:99
06.04La Union87:78

Boca Juniors

11.10away · Quimsa96:105
08.10Obera TC96:73
01.06Quimsa83:94
30.05Quimsa99:92
26.05away · Quimsa78:91

Head to head

17.02.2026Boca Juniors — Olimpico81:77
20.11.2025Olimpico — Boca Juniors83:71
26.04.2025Boca Juniors — Olimpico84:76
18.10.2024Olimpico — Boca Juniors93:74
20.03.2024Olimpico — Boca Juniors75:77

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Platense	3	1	2	.333	2
13	Olimpico	3	1	2	.333	2
14	Boca Juniors	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Ferro	4	1	3	.250	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

02:30
RegatasOlimpico19 October · Liga Nacional
7624
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.5
03:00
ArgentinoBoca Juniors22 October · Liga Nacional · preliminary
2674
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.4

Liga Nacional on the same day

02:30
ArgentinoGimnasia
2575
2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 82:87. Model's score: —.156.4
03:00
AtenasFerro
5149
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 91:86. Model's score: —.165.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →