EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Peace and Friendship Stadium

Olympiacos — Anadolu Efes

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Model prediction and result

89:66Came true
Olympiacos84%
Anadolu Efes16%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 89:66: the model's most likely outcome, Olympiacos to win (84% incl. overtime), came true.

Olympiacos are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:80 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Olympiacos +6.4, Anadolu Efes −2.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olympiacos — Anadolu Efes91.8–79.9
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Olympiacos points
  • Anadolu Efes points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Olympiacos

  • 01.10away · Virtus Bologna94:96
  • 29.09away · Zalgiris Kaunas93:91
  • 24.09away · Baskonia106:89
  • 24.05Real Madrid92:85
  • 22.05Fenerbahce79:61

Anadolu Efes

  • 01.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72:77
  • 29.09Real Madrid94:84
  • 24.09away · Barcelona82:89
  • 17.04away · Panathinaikos62:97
  • 10.04away · Dubai85:69

Head to head

  • 22.01.2026Anadolu Efes — Olympiacos68:74
  • 14.10.2025Olympiacos — Anadolu Efes78:82
  • 31.01.2025Olympiacos — Anadolu Efes92:89
  • 18.10.2024Anadolu Efes — Olympiacos91:89
  • 19.03.2024Anadolu Efes — Olympiacos85:72

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFenerbahce541.8000.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOlympiacos431.7501
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPartizan Mozzart Bet431.7501
13Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4002.5
14Anadolu Efes413.2503
15Maccabi Tel Aviv413.2503

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • ValenciaOlympiacos13 October · EuroLeague · live
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.0
  • Anadolu EfesBayern14 October · EuroLeague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.5

EuroLeague on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 81:88. Model's score: —.168.8
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 84:92. Model's score: —.187.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →