UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Borac Banja Luka — KuPS

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Model prediction for 22 October

Borac Banja Luka46%
Draw26%
KuPS29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Borac Banja Luka are slightly stronger: 46% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Borac Banja Luka — KuPS What is xG?1.6–1.2
Borac Banja Luka not to lose71%
KuPS not to lose54%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Borac Banja Luka
  • Borac Banja Luka goals
  • KuPS goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Borac Banja Luka

  • 13.03away · Rapid Wien1:2
  • 06.03Rapid Wien1:1
  • 20.02away · Olimpija Ljubljana0:0
  • 13.02Olimpija Ljubljana1:0
  • 19.12Omonia Nicosia0:0

KuPS

  • 26.02away · Lech Poznań0:1
  • 19.02Lech Poznań0:2
  • 18.12away · Crystal Palace2:2
  • 11.12Lausanne0:0
  • 27.11away · Jagiellonia Białystok0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →