Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Colorado Rapids are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Colorado Rapids are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Colorado Rapids — No. 14, 37 pts; Minnesota United — No. 25, 30 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Colorado Rapids: winless in 4; Minnesota United: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Colorado Rapids 2 wins, Minnesota United 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United What is xG? | 1.9–1.4 | |
| Colorado Rapids not to lose | 74% | |
| Minnesota United not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids goals
- Minnesota United goals
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Form
- 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
- 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
- 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
- 17.09St. Louis City0:3
- 13.09CF Montréal1:0
- 11.10Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 27.09away · Seattle Sounders FC1:3
- 20.09LA Galaxy2:3
- 13.09away · St. Louis City2:4
- 10.09FC Dallas1:2
Head to head
- 14.05.2026Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids0:1
- 28.09.2025Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United1:1
- 11.08.2025Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids1:2
- 29.09.2024Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids3:0
- 26.05.2024Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →