UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Nordsjælland — CSKA Sofia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nordsjælland are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nordsjælland are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nordsjælland — CSKA Sofia What is xG? | 2.3–0.8 | |
| Nordsjælland not to lose | 88% | |
| CSKA Sofia not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nordsjælland
- Nordsjælland goals
- CSKA Sofia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10OB0:0
- 20.09away · Viborg1:4
- 13.09AGF2:0
- 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
- 03.09away · FC København0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Kauno ŽalgirisBrannpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →