MLS: matchday 29 predictions
15 October · 15 matches · season 2026
MLS matchday 29: 15 matches, 15 October. The model expects 3.2 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 14 matches, an away win in 1. In matchday 28 the most likely outcome came true in 10 of 15 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteNashville SC — Sporting Kansas CityNashville SC 76% to win; most likely score 1:0
- Closest matchChicago Fire FC — Philadelphia Union37% v 35%, draw 28%
- Most goals expected · Possible upsetInter Miami CF — New York City FC3.5 goals on average; over 2.5: 69%; New York City FC 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashSt. Louis City — Vancouver Whitecaps3rd v 2nd in the table: 34% v 38%
The matches
Thursday, 15 October
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- 4327311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.