Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
LA Galaxy are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 27%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LA Galaxy are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- LA Galaxy: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers What is xG? | 1.9–1.6 | |
| LA Galaxy not to lose | 69% | |
| Portland Timbers not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LA Galaxy
- LA Galaxy goals
- Portland Timbers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · St. Louis City2:6
- 27.09Colorado Rapids3:2
- 20.09away · Minnesota United3:2
- 13.09Seattle Sounders FC1:1
- 10.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 11.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:3
- 27.09away · San Jose Earthquakes1:3
- 20.09Atlanta United0:1
- 13.09away · FC Dallas1:2
- 10.09St. Louis City2:2
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy1:1
- 28.04.2025LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers2:4
- 16.03.2025Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy1:1
- 19.09.2024Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy4:2
- 21.07.2024LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →