AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 12 October, MSK · CAA Arena
Belleville Senators — Utica Comets
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:4Came true
In short
Final score 2:4: the model's most likely outcome, Utica Comets to win (53% incl. overtime), came true.
Utica Comets are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 3.0.
- Belleville Senators: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Utica Comets | 2.8–3.0 | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Belleville Senators
- Belleville Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
- 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
- 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4
- 18.04Syracuse Crunch6:4
- 11.10Rochester Americans2:1
- 03.10away · Providence Bruins2:1
- 19.04away · Providence Bruins4:2
- 18.04Providence Bruins4:1
- 16.04away · Belleville Senators3:0
Head to head
- 16.04.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets0:3
- 05.04.2026Utica Comets — Belleville Senators4:0
- 08.03.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets7:3
- 07.03.2026Utica Comets — Belleville Senators5:2
- 01.03.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utica Comets | 3 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
Next matches
- Belleville SenatorsLaval Rocket17 October · AHL40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Utica CometsLaval Rocket18 October · AHL47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
AHL on the same day
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →