NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Columbus Blue Jackets are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 66%.
Why
- Columbus Blue Jackets are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.6–2.7 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 66% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
- 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
- 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3
- 15.04Washington Capitals1:2
- 11.10away · Colorado Avalanche6:3
- 09.10away · Vegas Golden Knights3:4 SO
- 07.10Nashville Predators5:4 OT
- 04.10Ottawa Senators2:3
- 01.10New York Islanders2:1
Head to head
- 27.11.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs1:2 OT
- 21.11.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 OT
- 30.10.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Toronto Maple Leafs6:3
- 06.04.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets5:0
- 23.01.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Columbus Blue Jackets1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 24 | New York Islanders | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils | 5 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →