KHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Dinamo Minsk — Bars Kazan

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Model prediction for 18 October

Dinamo Minsk49%
Draw in regulation22%
Bars Kazan29%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — Bars Kazan2.8–2.2
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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Form

Dinamo Minsk

  • 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
  • 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
  • 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
  • 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3

Bars Kazan

  • 12.10Sochi2:3
  • 10.10Cherepovets1:4
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
  • 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
  • 30.09Barys Astana4:1

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026Bars Kazan — Dinamo Minsk3:2
  • 13.04.2026Bars Kazan — Dinamo Minsk4:0
  • 11.04.2026Dinamo Minsk — Bars Kazan4:5 OT
  • 09.04.2026Dinamo Minsk — Bars Kazan1:2
  • 16.11.2025Bars Kazan — Dinamo Minsk3:7

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana1480654–40+1416
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow1472536–28+816
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan1571734–35-115
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg1362534–32+214

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →