AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Hershey Bears — Belleville Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hershey Bears are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Hershey Bears are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Belleville Senators | 3.2–2.7 | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hershey Bears
- Hershey Bears goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Texas Stars6:1
- 11.10Texas Stars2:1
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
- 12.10Utica Comets2:4
- 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
- 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
- 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Hershey Bears — Belleville Senators2:5
- 15.03.2026Hershey Bears — Belleville Senators3:6
- 16.02.2026Belleville Senators — Hershey Bears3:1
- 15.02.2026Belleville Senators — Hershey Bears3:6
- 06.03.2025Hershey Bears — Belleville Senators2:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Providence BruinsUtica Cometspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Chicago WolvesMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →