Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
JYP — Jokerit
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
JYP are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- JYP are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JYP — Jokerit | 3.2–2.0 | |
| JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| Jokerit to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap JYP
- JYP goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Kiekko-Espoo1:6
- 08.10away · SaiPa2:1
- 03.10away · TPS Turku1:4
- 02.10away · Hameenlinna1:2
- 25.09away · IFK Helsinki4:3
- 10.10Ilves0:3
- 08.10IFK Helsinki3:2 OT
- 03.10away · SaiPa2:3
- 02.10away · Tappara2:3 OT
- 29.09Hameenlinna3:0
Head to head
- 17.09.2026Jokerit — JYP2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | JYP | 10 | 7 | +5 | 21 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
| 17, Relegation | KooKoo | 12 | 1 | -27 | 4 |
Liiga on the same day
- IlvesKalPapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- KarpatJukuritpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- KooKooIFK Helsinkipreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- PelicansKiekko-Espoopreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- Vaasan SportAssatpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →