Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Kladno — Pardubice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pardubice are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kladno — Pardubice | 2.3–2.9 | |
| Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kladno
- Kladno goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10away · Karlovy Vary1:3
- 09.10Mlada Boleslav4:3
- 04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
- 02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
- 29.09away · Trinec4:6
- 11.10Trinec5:4 OT
- 09.10away · Vitkovice3:2
- 04.10Sparta Prague6:4
- 02.10Plzen4:2
- 29.09Ceske Budejovice5:2
Head to head
- 27.01.2026Pardubice — Kladno2:1 OT
- 23.12.2025Kladno — Pardubice0:1
- 31.10.2025Pardubice — Kladno8:3
- 23.09.2025Kladno — Pardubice4:5
- 26.01.2025Kladno — Pardubice2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- TrinecCeske Budejovicepreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- LitvinovPlzenpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.3
- VitkoviceKometa Brnopreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- LiberecSparta Praguepreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- Mountfield HKKarlovy Varypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →