AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Manitoba Moose 48%, Texas Stars 52% including overtime.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars | 2.7–2.8 | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Manitoba Moose
- Manitoba Moose goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
- 10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
- 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
- 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
- 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
- 12.10away · Hershey Bears1:6
- 11.10away · Hershey Bears1:2
- 04.10Iowa Wild3:4 SO
- 03.10Iowa Wild4:3 SO
- 06.05away · Chicago Wolves1:6
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars4:3 OT
- 11.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars5:4 SO
- 08.02.2026Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose4:3
- 07.02.2026Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose2:1
- 09.11.2025Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 4 | 3 | +12 | 6 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 24 | Abbotsford Canucks | 4 | 1 | -4 | 3 | .375 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
AHL on the same day
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →