NHL · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils — Ottawa Senators

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Model prediction and result

1:4Came true
New Jersey Devils31%
Draw in regulation23%
Ottawa Senators46%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Ottawa Senators to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.

Ottawa Senators are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Ottawa Senators2.4–2.9
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap New Jersey Devils
  • New Jersey Devils goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
  • 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
  • 15.04away · Boston Bruins0:4

Ottawa Senators

  • 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
  • 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
  • 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1
  • 04.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
  • 01.02.2026Ottawa Senators — New Jersey Devils4:1
  • 10.12.2025Ottawa Senators — New Jersey Devils3:4
  • 23.03.2025New Jersey Devils — Ottawa Senators2:3
  • 19.01.2025New Jersey Devils — Ottawa Senators1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights750225–18+710
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators650119–12+710
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers541025–17+89
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74
27Vancouver Canucks720524–35-114

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →