DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Munchen

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Model prediction for 18 October

Nurnberg Ice Tigers33%
Draw in regulation21%
Munchen46%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Munchen are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Munchen are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Munchen2.6–3.0
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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Form

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 11.10away · Kolner2:4
  • 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
  • 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 02.10Schwenninger5:0
  • 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO

Munchen

  • 11.10away · Schwenninger4:3
  • 09.10ERC Ingolstadt1:5
  • 04.10Augsburger Panther4:2
  • 02.10away · Kolner4:2
  • 27.09Frankfurt Lowen1:4

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Munchen5:4
  • 14.12.2025Munchen — Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:1
  • 16.11.2025Munchen — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
  • 09.10.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Munchen2:3
  • 19.02.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Munchen2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →