VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Ryazan — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Ryazan 51%, Gornyak 49% including overtime.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ryazan — Gornyak | 2.3–2.2 | |
| Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ryazan
- Ryazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
- 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
- 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
- 03.10away · Perm0:1
- 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3
- 06.10Bars2:3
- 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 02.10CSK VVS5:2
- 26.09away · Khimik4:1
- 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Gornyak — Ryazan2:1 SO
- 20.09.2025Ryazan — Gornyak5:2
- 07.01.2025Ryazan — Gornyak3:5
- 12.11.2024Gornyak — Ryazan1:2 SO
- 12.01.2024Gornyak — Ryazan2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →