Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Bondar A. — Zarazua R.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Bondar A.59%
Zarazua R.41%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bondar A. to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.

Bondar A. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bondar A. 1543, Zarazua R. 1482.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bondar A. games
  • Zarazua R. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Bondar A.

  • 26.09Birrell K.1:2
  • 26.09Ruse G.2:1
  • 24.09Charaeva A.2:1
  • 22.09Zarazua R.2:1

Zarazua R.

  • 22.09Bondar A.1:2

Head to head

  • 22.09.2026Bondar A. — Zarazua R.2:1

Next matches

  • Zarazua R.Sabalenka A.2 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • Bondar A.Boisson L.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →