Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

De Minaur A. — Khachanov K.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
De Minaur A.62%
Khachanov K.38%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (62%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1789, Khachanov K. 1685.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

De Minaur A.

  • 11.10Sakamoto R.2:0
  • 06.10Djokovic N.0:1
  • 05.10Hurkacz H.1:0
  • 04.10Rublev A.2:1
  • 03.10Halys Q.2:1

Khachanov K.

  • 11.10Mannarino A.2:0
  • 09.10Fery A.2:1
  • 04.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 02.10Molcan A.2:0
  • 30.09Auger-Aliassime F.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.De Minaur A.16 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →