Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Djokovic N. — De Minaur A.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Djokovic N.71%
De Minaur A.29%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (71%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Djokovic N. 1986, De Minaur A. 1787.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Djokovic N. games
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Djokovic N.

  • 05.10Medvedev D.1:0
  • 04.10Zverev A.2:1
  • 02.10Bu Y.2:1
  • 30.09Borges N.2:0

De Minaur A.

  • 05.10Hurkacz H.1:0
  • 04.10Rublev A.2:1
  • 03.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 01.10Navone M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Molcan A.9 October · ATP · Shanghai · live
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5
  • Djokovic N.Hurkacz H.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →