Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Hontama M. — Boulter K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Hontama M.30%
Boulter K.70%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Boulter K. to win (70%), came true.

Boulter K. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hontama M. 1471, Boulter K. 1621.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hontama M. games
  • Boulter K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hontama M.

  • 29.09Burrage J.2:1
  • 28.09Panova A.2:0

Boulter K.

  • 22.09Noskova L.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Muchova K.Boulter K.2 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →