Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Molcan A. — Khachanov K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Molcan A.40%
Khachanov K.60%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Khachanov K. to win (60%), came true.

Khachanov K. are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Molcan A. 1625, Khachanov K. 1698.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Molcan A. games
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Molcan A.

  • 01.10Machac T.2:0
  • 29.09Trungelliti M.2:0
  • 28.09Kopriva V.2:1

Khachanov K.

  • 30.09Auger-Aliassime F.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Hurkacz H.Khachanov K.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • Molcan A.Cina F.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →