Tennis: WTA, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Sasnovich A. — Lepchenko V.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Sasnovich A.73%
Lepchenko V.27%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sasnovich A. to win (73%), came true.

Sasnovich A. are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sasnovich A. 1588, Lepchenko V. 1415.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Lepchenko V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sasnovich A.

  • 28.09Zhang J.2:0
  • 23.09Andreeva M.0:2
  • 21.09Kasatkina D.2:0

Lepchenko V.

  • 28.09Eikeri U.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sasnovich A.Gibson T.30 September · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →